We have the series finale of this AL West intradivisional series with the Houston Astros hosting the Seattle Mariners.
Houston won two of the first three games of this series and would look to put up a strong showing with the win. On the other hand, rookie right-hander George Kirby is rolling on the mound in an attempt to tie the series before the set with the Seattle Yankees.
Can Mariners rookie Electric Astros overcome the offense or will Houston continue their success with a 3-1 series win? Find out about us for free mlb picks and predictions Below
Astros vs Mariners Odds
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The Astros were unveiled on Saturday morning as the consensus favorite of -120 and immediately bet on -140 until some buyback with the price fixed at -135. The consensus opening total was unveiled at 8.5 and remains at that number.
Astros vs Mariners Predictions
Choice made on 7/31/2022 at 11:00am ET.
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Astros vs Mariners game info
, place: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
, Date: Sunday, 31 July 2022
, first pitch: 2:10 PM ET
, TV: AT&T Sportsnet, Root Sports
Astros vs Mariners Betting Preview
George Kirby (2-3, 3.50 epoch): While Kirby’s surface-level stats are certainly “take it or leave it”, a deep dive into his performances this season reveals that he is better than these stats. One start, in particular, is disrupting Kirby’s numbers, which was his debut on June 27 against the Orioles. Everyone has a bad day in this league, and this outing couldn’t have been worse for Kirby. Losing virtually all his command after the first innings, Kirby was bouncing meatballs as he allowed four homers, seven runs and nine hits in his four innings. However, every other outing has been solid. In his last three starts, Kirby has failed to allow a homer and claims a 1.65 ERA and 1.12 whips. Kirby has reached at least four strikes in each of those three.
Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25 epochs): This outing could be a big wake-up call for Odorizzi. In his last three games, Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA. While that number isn’t particularly dire, all three of those starts against the Athletics. It’s certainly a change of pace in the past two months against the Seattle offense ranked higher than Oakland in the BA, SLG, OPS and WOBA.
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Betting trends to know
George Kirby has reached at least four strikes in eight of his last 10 starts (80%). find More mlb betting trends For Astros vs Mariners
Astros vs Mariners Picks and Predictions
Our favor and total predictions are based on our analysis of line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick in all markets.
Entering into great form in this competition, Seattle has won 18 of their last 23 games (78%). I expect this trend to continue as right-handed rookie Kirby prepares to take the mound for Seattle.
As noted earlier, on June 27, Kirby had perhaps one of the worst performances of his life, as he conceded seven runs on seven hits through four innings against a mediocre Orioles offense. That being said, his ability to rebound since that outing is telling a lot.
For a young pitcher in this league, the first time you move like this can definitely be a confidence shake. However, Kirby’s restraint since that outing – against some of the better offenses – really speaks to the mental fortitude of the young right-hander.
Of the three, Kirby has claimed 1.65 ERAs and whips since that outing. Facing some explosive firepower in this outing, Kirby will undoubtedly be tested.
I’m confident he’ll pass the test, but even if he isn’t, Seattle’s strong bullpen should be able to hold it down. As of June 1, Seattle’s relief pitching is sixth in the league in ERA, second in BA, fifth in SLG and second in WOBA.
This bullpen is anchored by Eric Swanson and Paul Seewald, both of whom should once again be available when needed in the game as they only bowled 16 and 14 pitches respectively. Houston has never faced Kirby before, and it may take a few rounds down the batting order to find him.
forecast: Mariners Moneyline (+120 BetRivers . Feather,
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Seattle’s pitching staff has been able to win this game on plus money, even if they are going up against a mighty Houston lineup. It is being said that the pitching staff of Houston can also keep this game low scoring.
Coming out of three straight games against a weak Oakland offense (see pitcher section), I believe Odorizzi will struggle in this outing. In his last 10 starts, Odorizzi is 4-3 with 4.22 ERA.
Many of those starts were against bad offenses, squaring three times against Oakland, Kansas City, Detroit and the Angels. Despite this weak schedule, Odorizzi’s divisions are still fade-worthy.
So why would Houston’s pitching staff keep this game low-scoring? The answer is their bullpen. Since June 1, Houston’s relief pitching is fifth in ERA, third in BA, second in SLG, third in WOBA and second in hard-hit percentage.
Since starter Framber Valdez played seven innings for Houston yesterday, the game should have a full bullpen available. I believe a quicker play in this game will take the game down, while taking the Seattle team’s total for the first five innings, presenting a good middle opportunity.
forecast: Under 8.5 (-110 at DraftKings,
With all that said, I’m not confident enough to take on Seattle’s moneyline without its better hitter, Julio Rodriguez, who is expected to miss the game after taking the pitch off his wrist in the ninth inning of Saturday’s game. . I’m also not confident enough to take under because Jake Odorizzi is not good and can move quickly.
The one play I trust the most is another good outing for a Seattle starter. After reaching at least four strikes in eight of his last 10 starts (80%), Kirby should be able to hit once again.
There is some juice we must have here, but I believe it is worth it. Kirby claims 22.7 K% this season and is closing out a Houston lineup that includes some strike-prone hitters including Martin Maldonado (31.3 K%), Jeremy Pea (24.7%), and Jake Meyers (33.3%) Huh.
George Kirby Prop: over 3.5 strikeouts (-146)
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