Series Preview: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

When the Angels arrive in the City of Angels this Friday, it will be the first time the Mariners have seen them in more than a month. The last time the two teams met in late June, they were virtually deadlocked, record-wise, with the Angels losing a bit of their opening season’s luster and the Mariners fighting to get out of the pitiful May and June conditions. given—and we mean the fight, as the last time these two teams saw each other, well, You probably know what happened.

From then on, the two teams could not go in much different directions. The Mariners have taken their second place in the division and given themselves a better chance than outside on a wild card berth, and the Angels… haven’t. Things have gone very badly for the Angels, from a record of 3-15 in July and a historic team’s low batting average of .195, to the news that Mike Trout was diagnosed with a back injury Understanding which requires more than a working knowledge of WebMD to finally sell some of its players by trade deadline, including starter Noah Syndergaard, signed to a one-year contract, close Raisell Iglesias, who just- Had just signed a four-year contract from earlier this season, and young outfielder Brandon Marsh.

I’m actually not even sure who is on Angels now? Nor what are the Mariners officially doing with their rotation? All this made more complicated by Saturday’s doubleheader? So take this potential pitcher’s list with a very large grain of salt.

at a glance

Mariners angels
Mariners angels
game 1 Friday, August 5 | 7:10 pm
LHP Robbie Ray LHP Patrick Sandoval
60% 40%
Game 2 (DH) Saturday, August 6 | 1:10 pm
RHP George Kirby RHP Touki Toussaint
57% 43%
Game 3 (DH) Saturday, August 6 | 7:10 pm
RHP Chris Flexon LHP Reed Detamers
57% 43%
game 4 Sunday, August 7 | 1:10 pm
LHP Marco Gonzales LHP Tucker Davidson
56% 44%

*Courtesy of Game Odds fangraph

Also note: I’m previewing this series as Jake welcomes a new baby to his family this week. Many congratulations to Jake! But at the same time, please forgive any and all errors because I’m trying to mess with Jake’s table of “I don’t know what dog I’m doing”. Sorry Jake! I hope you have copies of all these things.

team overview

Observation angels Mariners corner
Observation angels Mariners corner
Batting (WRC+) 92 (13th in AL) 106 (5th in AL) Mariners
Fielding (OAA) 1 (10th) 8 (7th) Mariners
Starting Pitching (FIP-) 93 (fourth) 113 (12th) angels
Bullpen (FIP-) 101 (10th) 99 (7th) Mariners

Shohei Ohtani is single-handedly holding the Angels’ starting pitching mark while Marko is single-handedly pushing the Mariners down, but I think we all know those numbers aren’t as close as they seem. Considering the time frame of the trade consider the edges of the Mariners to be even larger.

Angels Lineup

player place Bat the countryside babeep WRC+ BSR
player place Bat the countryside babeep WRC+ BSR
Taylor Ward RF R 335 0.337 139 1.0
Shohei Ohtani of Dhanbad Took 433 0.284 133 0.4
Jared Walshow 1B Took 382 0.298 89 -1.3
Luis Rengifo 2B s 265 0.320 110 2.2
Max Stacy C R 253 0.287 87 -2.0
Jose Rojaso 3B Took 27 0.158 -28 -0.1
Andrew Velazquez SS s 262 0.248 35 2.8
I am Adele LF R 141 0.325 81 -0.3
Kurt Suzuki C R 119 0.21 64 -0.8
mike trout CF R 262 0.333 187 -0.9

Putting this table together now versus what it looked like a month ago or so from the start of the season was wild. Many Halos mainstays on IL—Mike Trout, Matt Duffy, Anthony Rendon—have not only been sent in the trades: no more Brandon Marsh or Tyler Wade. I had to look at the box scores from Thursday to even guess which players might slot where, so again, forgive me if there’s a mistake. Mickey Moniac looks like he’ll take over for Trout in the center while he’s out because Joe Adele is barely a corner outfielder, but Magneris Sierra is in the mix too, and several other players on the roster have some outfield cover. To have positional flexibility. Currently, though, the Angels are just throwing stuff at the wall and seeing what sticks.

potential pitchers

Updated Content + Explainers

Again, many apologies here, as this is Jake’s domain and I don’t know enough about who is starting to make good tables, nor how to make good tables. I cobbled together a list of potential starters from some Twitter-searching of various Angel Beats and fan sites. One thing we know for sure is that we’ll be seeing Patrick Sandoval to begin the series, so here’s what Jake has written about Lefty in the past:

It is difficult to locate Patrick Sandoval. He has one of the best turnaround rates in baseball, with a rate above 50%. He can manipulate pitch to produce more vertical or horizontal motion depending on the situation, but the end result is usually the same: a swinging strike. He has a pair of very good breaking balls with the slider being his favorite weapon against left-handed batsmen. The problem is their fastball. Of all four-seam fastballs thrown at least 100 times this year, he has the fourth-lowest swinging strike rate among them all. This is a big reason why his strike rate has dropped three points from last year despite having an arsenal full of excellent secondary weapons.

Since that writeup, Sandoval’s strike rate has corrected in line with his 2021 numbers, but he has been running with a hair more batsmen, showing that his command issues still haven’t ironed themselves out. Is. He’s been extremely fortunate with only a 4.9% HR/FB rate, which is a third of his career, but so far the second rate he’s been in is almost 100 points higher (.444) than his first half. Allowing points, suggesting that number is due for some regression soon.

Aside from Sandoval, the Mariners would see no other mainstay of the Angels pitching rotation: Ohtani pitched only on Wednesday, Syndergaard was gone, and Michael Lorenzen was injured. He’ll have to contend with his tendency to scrutinize major pitching achievements along with his curveballs and his curveballs at some point: he’s already had one no-hitter and one spotless innings this year. Detmers was selected to Triple-A before the Mariners faced the Angels at the end of June, after a slightly poor run in his previous two starts, but has remained strong since rejoining the club. , leaving only three earned total runs in July; However, due to the Angels’ offense and the disqualification of the bullpen, they have won just one of those four competitions.

The Mariners will certainly see the Angels trade return from Atlanta for Iglesias, Lefty Tucker Davidson. The 26-year-old has spent most of this season in Triple-A, but will be drafted into big league service for the Angels. Davidson doesn’t have a big fastball – 91-93 MPH – but he is able to ride it in a way that induces soft contact. His second pitch is a slider that flashes above average but lacks consistency, and will also throw a 12-6 curveball that is at or slightly below average. It’s the kind of pitcher that can’t stop the Mariners’ offense, and yet it happens so often.

Aside from Davidson, there’s a good chance the Mariners see a fair amount of the second half of Iglesias trade comeback in old friend Jesse Chavez. Touissant, acquired from Atlanta in early July for cash, is listed in some places as a potential starter for a doubleheader game, but the Angels had to use it as an emergency fill-in for 4.1 innings on Thursday when Starter Jenson junk burned out. In 2.1 innings of work, six earned runs were surrendered. That’s fine for me, because I really like Touki, who played with Peoria Javelinas in 2017 and don’t want to root against him.


big picture:

al west

crew WL w% back games recent form
crew WL w% back games recent form
Astros 69-38 0.645 , WLLW
Mariners 57-49 0.538 11.5 WLLWW
ranger people 47-58 0.448 21.0 WLLW
angels 44-61 0.419 24.0 WLWLL
exercise 41-66 0.383 28.0 LLLWW

wild card race

crew WL w% back games recent form
crew WL w% back games recent form
blue Jays 59-46 0.562 +3.0 7-3
Mariners 57-49 0.538 +0.5 6-4
rays 56-49 0.533 , 4-6
orioles 54-51 0.514 2.0 7-3
Guardians 54-51 0.514 2.0 6-4
white sox 53-52 0.505 3.0 6-4
red Sox 53-54 0.495 4.0 4-6

Not much has changed here since last series preview check-in, but watch out for those Orioles sneaking into the wild card races. It’s rooted against the Orioles, but sorry, Birdland, a girl has to do what she has to do.

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