Going into the first weekend of August, it’s definitely time for Sidney Crosby. It’s that time of year when Sid and Nathan McKinnon are busy shooting for their promotions (no mention of Crosby yet) celebrating with enthusiasm His bud achievement) and it’s also his birthday.
dating back to 2014 And 2017 And possibly even beyond that, Crosby’s chase of Mario Lemieux’s total of 1,723 points has always fascinated me. The careers of both the stars have had so many stops and starts and unfortunate derailments that you never know what could have happened for both of them.
In 1,118 current NHL games, Crosby surpasses Lemieux’s 915 game career. No matter how many times you watch it or feel like you understand the stats, it’s still jarring to see every time that Mario Lemieux’s career adds up to a little more than just 11 full seasons in its totality. . Such were his injury, illness and other limiting conditions.
In this sense, these two are running separate races. Lemieux’s skill, power and production against goalscorers who looked like you baby brother in the ’80s and early ’90s will forever be unmatched. I mean Mario scored 690 goals in those 915 games, numbers that are incomprehensible to the modern mind.
Anyway, more than ever (knock on wood) it looks like Crosby will shut down and eventually surpass Lemieux’s career totals as well. I made a chart with the player’s age and the point total at the bottom. Conveniently enough, both have birthdays off-season, which makes them fairly easy to track per season.
Crosby’s career had begun a year earlier in age, but by the end of each of his age-22 seasons, Mario had advanced in total points (516–506). If you really get into that blue line, Lemieux’s angle from age 21-23 is so scary, it’s almost vertical with the rate of how many points he was collecting over this time period. Thus, in the blink of an eye in four seasons, Lemieux nearly doubled to 1,014 points and Crosby’s career only added to his troubles.
By the end of each age-27 season, Lemieux had 321 more points than Crosby at the same point in his career (1,174–853). Even by the end of age 31, the odds were 278 (1,494–1,216) in Mario’s favor.
However, it was a turning point, as Lemieux retired from 1997–2000, his age 31–34 out of the season. These years of inactivity (along with his age-29 in 1994–95, where Lemieux missed the entire campaign) are probably the only reason Crosby would one day take first place in the franchise ledger.
To put things in perspective, Mario Lemieux was 35 when he returned to the ice in December 2000. Sidney Crosby turned 35 on Sunday. It’s brainwashing, isn’t it?
At this time, through the age-34 seasons of both stars, Crosby has a total of 1,409 points. Lemieux was at 1,494 at this point in his career, giving him a cushion of 85 points over the current captain.
From here, Lemieux scored only 229 points for the rest of his NHL career, giving him a total of 313 points for Sid until he tied Mario.
Lemieux still had one heck of a great age-35 season in just half a year (getting 76 points in 43 games) and was one of the league’s best at age 37, where he scored 91 points in 67 games. sustain (enough for enough) points/second in game in the entire league in that season).
The above reading should be hopeful for the final days of Evgeny Malkin (Jo.) celebrated his 36th birthday Last week) and Crosby. Lemieux was still a dominant player at age 37, and then an accumulation of hip and back injuries robbed him of his ability to bring a shell of his former self around the ice.
For Crosby in particular, this should be good news and also a possible path to follow. If Crosby skates in Lemieux’s track, he should be one of the league’s best offensive players this season and two more. Coincidentally or not, this also aligns with the time remaining on his contract.
Crosby has made tentative hints, and notably re-signed by Malkin and Chris Letang, that he too will probably play hockey longer than his current contract. That next contract would be for Crosby’s age 38+ season, and that too when he would be on pace to pass Lemieux as the all-time leading point scorer with the Penguins.
More than ever, it looks like Crosby will get there and slowly but steadily catch up to surpass the astonishing historical point totals that Lemieux quickly compiled.
Does Crosby have another 173 goals to catch Lemieux? At this point it is the only Penguin record that No. 66 is firmly in control. To pass Lemieux, Crosby would have to play six more seasons and average 29 goals each year. Big question at this point, though Crosby has been average about this (31 in just 69 games last season).
Assist Mark will be the first to fall, with Mario currently sitting at 141 above Crosby. In a good or normal, non-pandemic year, with Crosby piling up 50-60 assists per season, it’s hard not to see this major Lemieux mark falling to Crosby within three seasons.
The points mark is well within Crosby’s sights at this point, should he be able to and continue to log the games needed to get there. At 314 points to overtake Mario, Crosby would have to average 63 points over the next five seasons to surpass Lemieux in “only” points. If Crosby plays for six more seasons, as he suggested quite informally and off-handedly, it becomes so much of a slam dunk that he will be the most prolific Penguins point scorer of all time.
Many thought that Lemieux’s franchise record for point totals would never fall, and he ranks eighth overall in NHL scoring. This shows how crazy and special Crosby’s career has been, especially after overcoming all the adversity that robbed him of many games and points in his prime.
That said, if Crosby plays six more seasons, and if he can average 65 points per year to go into his career, it puts him on a course for 1,800 career points. This would narrowly pass Ron Francis (1,798) and put Sid in fifth place in all-time NHL scoring behind Gretzky, Jagger, Messier and Howe.
Crosby’s playing career is closer to the end than the beginning when he sees 35 candles on his cake this weekend, but over the next few years he will continue to establish his legacy as one of the greatest players of any generation. Will continue Have seen the game.