As the calendar flipped from June to July, the Red Sox sat on a 43–33 record and were in an American League wild card spot. However, it turned out to be a disastrous month for them, going 8-19. Now their record is 51–52, placing them 3 1/2 games behind the Rays for a final playoff spot, with three teams in the middle.
Because of that slide, there’s been recent bullshit Considering business like imminent free agents about the club JD Martinez, Christian Vazquez And Nathan Iovaldick, With less than 48 hours remaining until the trade deadline, The Boston Globe’s Alex Spear Reports that financial considerations will be a factor in discussions between the Red Sox and other teams. According to Spear, the front office will consider ducking under the luxury tax but will not be required to do so. It is also possible that they may take on additional salary commitments if it means adding more potential talent to the system.
The Red Sox have paid the luxury tax in the past but have been trying to run a lower payroll in recent years. The most famous, or infamous, business of Boston Mookie Bates And David Price as a means of reducing wages. However, he made some aggressive spending last winter, notably the six-year, $140MM contract awarded Trevor StoryPutting them back on the CBT line for this year. Jason Martinez of Roster Resources They estimate their current CBT numbers to be over $238MM, which puts them above the $8MM minimum limit of $230MM. (Spear says they’re about $7MM on the line.) Since luxury tax status isn’t determined until the off-season, the Sox can still lower their CBT numbers and avoid all penalties.
Business alone would go all the way, or perhaps, to bring Martinez back down the line. He’s making a salary of just over $19MM this year, but a player’s contribution to the luxury tax calculation is based on the average annual value of the player’s entire contract. Since his deal was worth $110 million over five years, that comes with $22 million in AAV and CBT hits this year. At the time of the trade deadline, there will be more than a third of the season remaining, meaning the Red Sox could deduct approximately $7.5MM from their luxury tax calculation if they find another team to take over the entirety of the balance. Huh. Martinez contract. Eovaldi and Vazquez have lower AAVs by $17MM and $7MM respectively. This means that an Eovaldi can deduct approximately $5.8MM from the trading ledger and approximately $2.4MM in the case of Vazquez. If the Boston Brass decide they need to come down the line, that’s definitely something they can achieve by moving some combination of this trio.
This approach will appeal to some teams, but certainly not to others. Teams with lower payrolls may prefer to pay a potentially higher probability cost to take a lower salary, but there are also teams in the opposite camp. For example, the Mets are Allegedly Would like to buy on the time frame, but would prefer to take the money rather than leave it to prospects.
However, the Red Sox are also clearly set to go in another direction, thought to use some of the financial burden to absorb some of the pay as a means of bolstering their system. The Red Sox have a huge number of contracts this year, which have already been mentioned. Enrique Hernandez, Michael Coven, rich hill, Matt Straham And kevin plavecki It is sure to reach the open market as well. In addition, option decisions could deduct even more money from the 2023 payroll, specifically what is owed. xander bogarts, which is widely expected to exit his contract in a few months. According to Jason Martinez, this gives the Red Sox a CBT number of less than $108MM for next season. This does not include an increase for arbitrable players, including Raphael Divers, but it involves Bogaerts. If bogarts are actually deducted from the bookkeeping, arbitration players will not increase that number much. If Boston is prepared to increase their luxury tax payments this year, they may be in a good position to “reset” their CBT status next year. (There are increasing penalties for paying the luxury tax in consecutive seasons, which means that even the teams with the highest payrolls find ways to avoid such a scenario from time to time.)
Overall, the Red Sox are shaping up to be one of the most interesting teams as we approach the trade deadline, which is August 2 at 5PM. Try to walk a line between the two customary “buy” and “sell” strategies. One thing that seems off the table, however, is a full-scale rebuild that sees the team looking down on things in a serious way. bogarts recently said that he was told that he would not be traded, and now Devers has said the same, per WEEI. The Rob Bradford, However, Bradford also points out that there have been no recent contract talks with Bogarts and the club, meaning that it is still quite possible that he may drop out at the end of the year, with the club at the time giving him a Be sure to make a qualifying offer. spear too relay Word from Vazquez, who hasn’t had any talks about a new contract until recently. While there are still several possible permutations, it looks like Boston’s roster is headed for a significant shakeup, either this week or in the off-season, or both.