Travis Yost: Grading Each NHL Team’s Right Wing Depths

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On Monday, We Classified Each NHL’s Team left wing depth, Today, we take another run at our talent levels, this time focusing on the right-wing position.

Since this is a multi-part series — and I’ve already been advised by the trusted editorial team that we’ll be doing a mid-year update, which is great news — I wanted to address some of the general feedback I’ve been getting. received on the initial. Post. They break down into three general points:

1. Interchangeable (LW/RW) Wingers

There are about 10 to 12 wingers who are interchangeable (left wing/right wing) and many more who have positions interchangeable but do not actually play either side at the present time. This positional issue is present only in the wing, but in some circumstances overriding changes must be made.

i) Edmonton Evander Kane The best example of this. Kane has played in Edmonton in more than 43 games, exclusively in the left wing, but the position is interchangeable. He should have been identified as a leftist, not a rightist. But the blanket positional methodology I’m using—which calls for NHL play-by-play sheets and two independent depth chart databases for buybacks at CBS and Capfriendly—recognize him as a right-wing.

ii) The solution going forward is to aggregate both the wing positions and grade out the ‘wingers’ like we would do to the center and the defense personnel. This takes positional noise out of the equation, which is present to a significant degree when you start seeing appreciable fourth-rows for about half the teams in the league. For now: it is still zero sum, and so if a winger is not identified on one side (see: ‘Los Angeles’ Kevin Fiala As another example), he would be on another.

2. Scoring has nothing to do with talent tier!

This is a feature, not a bug. The advantage of using regression-based models such as Goals Above Replacement is that we capture other metrics that we know add up to goals and win games – mainly defensive contributions, but also potential for penalties and the like.

3. Why is my team doing poorly when the top six are great?

Having talent at the top of the lineup is more important than talent at the bottom, but bottom-six forwards play a terrific minute (and are appropriately weighted in), and having depth can be just as valuable, if ever. A top-heavy lineup, if not more.

For the right wing levels!

Tier 5, In Trouble: San Jose Sharks, Winnipeg Jets

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Tier 5, In Trouble: San Jose Sharks, Winnipeg Jets

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with Timo Meier Left captured in preview), this group effect is very limited on players. Winnipeg’s Cole Parfetti is an interesting breakout candidate to watch, though. We saw Perfetti’s 18-games last season, mostly played with the likes of Kyle Connor And Pierre-Luc Dubois, His Second Season With Manitoba Moose Saws Is More Interesting Nearly Points-Per-Game Production – For a 19-year-old man at that time, certainly nothing to sneeze at.

There is nothing more to say here. quite serious.

Tier 4, Underperform: Arizona Coyotes, Calgary Flames, Columbus Blue Jackets, Detroit Red Wings, Montreal Canadiens, New York Islanders, New York Rangers

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There were more teams in this tier to downgrade to tier five than to upgrade to tier one. There are a lot of questions in these lineups – a team like Calgary has depth but may lack top-end talent, with a team like Columbus having fewer than ten (subpar) options to try and slot in a weak bottom-six. There aren’t, and teams like Detroit and New York are banking on some real growth from their small arms next year.

I wanted to focus on both of them, because I think they are in interesting places. Detroit was the best Tier Four team and the only one I considered for Tier Three: Lucas Raymond looked excellent in his rookie year (23 goals and 34 assists aged 19) and must watch television when he turns ; fellow first round draft pick Philip Zadina Too they also had the best season, but the scoring output hasn’t been in his first 160-games. I think Zadina deserves the benefit of the doubt considering how bad the Red Wings have been over the years, and he already looks like a capable mid-six option, but this year is definitely something to evaluate. Will be about how high his ceiling can be. And David Peron Still quite a player, but as he crosses the 1,000-game mark, we can’t be sure what his output will look like.

New York is banking too alexis lafrenire (one of the players who could see the time in either or both wing spots) and capo cacos To move on to next year. Neither has a season like Raymond, and Kako—now entering its fourth season—is Started taking out the anger of his own coaching staff, If Rangers can’t get anything from players like Kako (and under that, Sammy Blass), this group is crumbling in tier-five territory. This is definitely a weakness of a very talented team.

A note on this group: I dare others to try to figure out what Columbus right wing is going to do with his bottom six. are almost two fist optionsAnd jacob voraceco – While still a playwright on the attack – suddenly can’t buy a target, This group is a puzzle.

Tier 3, Solid: Anaheim Ducks, Buffalo Cebres, Chicago Blackhawks, Dallas Stars, New Jersey Devils, Philadelphia Flyers Pittsburgh Penguins, St. Louis Blues, Vegas Golden Knights, Washington Capitals

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Like their left-wing counterparts, a mid-tier group is usually a combination of teams that have some one-dimensional talent (e.g. a lot of offense or a lot of defense, but not both), are too heavy, or The front doesn’t have enough firepower.

The Vegas Golden Knights are probably the most interesting team in this group, as they are high-level potential rebound candidates ahead of the mid-year update. mark stone Still one of the best two-way forwards in the game, but injuries in Vegas over the past two seasons have plagued his career. If Stone can stay healthy and head coach Bruce Cassidy has an appetite for it, I imagine a tandem with the likes of the newly acquired center Jack Eichel Could take the Western Conference by storm. Stone is an exceptionally reliable defensive forward with an awareness grade off the charts; Eichel is one of the best passers and playmates in the game, and despite Vegas’s disappointing 2021–22, good start for his career in the South. We’ll see if these two unite at some point.

On the other side of the equation, Patrick Kane The Blackhawks have been doing a lot of work holding on to the right side of the lineup, and based on the demolition of their roster this summer, it doesn’t look like Kane will be in Chicago for much longer. Kane can get about as one-dimensional as a forward, but that one dimension—his ability to score at will; He scored 92 points in just 78 games last season – he has tremendous value and would make him very valuable as a trade rental. on your expiring contract, Once Kane is gone, the Blackhawks’ right flank looks as thin as the rest of the roster, and this team is on the fast track to the draft lottery.

And speaking of very lucrative business rentals: St. Louis’ Vladimir Tarasenko, infamously passed by the Seattle Kraken, is out of a 34-goal season – his highwater mark since the 2016-17 season. Blues has a little more redundancy on the right, thanks Jordan Kyroupresence, but Tarasenko seems to be another player who could move on in a few months.

Tier 2, Outperform: Boston Bruins, Carolina Hurricanes, Colorado Avalanche, Edmonton Oilers, Florida Panthers, Los Angeles Kings, Ottawa Senators, Seattle Krakens, Tampa Bay Lightning, Vancouver Canucks

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An interesting question with this group: Which of these 10 teams on the right has the best collection of talent? Of all the levels I’ve worked on so far, this is probably the one I love best—if you’re looking for similarities in overall production, these 10-roasters feel pretty close to each other. Huh.

I would say this: to David Pastro And Craig Smith The Tandem is about as solid a 1-2 punch as you can get, and if the Bruins (stop me if you’ve heard it before) can get any firepower into the deeper parts of their lineup, they’re really into it again. This year will be tough. The Bruins’ entire lineup is exceptionally top-heavy and while this is good enough for regular season play, it leaves them vulnerable against deeper teams. Case in point: Boston’s clash against Carolina last year. I’m not sure if the top of the Hurricanes lineup is more talented than the Bruins, but I’m sure the bottom-half of their lineup is an order of magnitude better. And watching the games, you can see it – Carolina’s entire lineup plays at a brutal and unbelievable pace, while half of Boston does.

Vancouver is another interesting team. Conor Garland fit like a glove last season; The Canucks beat their opponents 66-46 (+20!) with Garland on the ice last year. tanner pearson And elias peterson, Garland’s success in Vancouver is important, as it allows the Canucks to be creative brock bowserminutes of (mostly with JT Miller Last year), and further they were replaced by Vasily Podkolzin and . like allows young skilled players to easy Nils Hoglander into the fray. If Poldkolzin takes a step forward in year two, it’s a really good top-nine, and could help carry some of the weaker parts of Vancouver’s lineup.

Also: Oilers fans were disappointed with Kane’s weak grades on the left wing due to positional interchangeability. But since it’s still in a zero-sum situation, they now grade quite well here. find Jesse Puljujarvik Signed for another season, I thought this was important for the team, considering their Stanley Cup hopes – I’ve found the data-types to be too quick to ignore Puljujarvi’s lack of aggressive output , in the same way Puljujarvi’s critics ignore his major contributions, especially defensively, around the rest of the ice. It’s the definition of make-or-break season for him, and with Kane likely to see minutes to the left again this year, he’s going to get a top six job.

Tier 1, Elite: Minnesota Wild, Nashville Predators, Toronto Maple Leafs

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Minnesota (with a boulder on the right here) and Toronto (the same is true for Nylander) are the slam dunk tier one teams. The right-hand side of Minnesota is full of talented two-way players; Toronto’s combination of Marner and Nylander is probably the best you can find among the qualified guys in the league, and jarnrock street (who could play multiple positions this year) is a very reliable mid-six player. For my money, these two tandems are as good as they are.

The Hunters are an interesting third team to consider here. remember when Matt DuchenneThe career of just a few years ago, a confused and enigmatic player in Ottawa who couldn’t find his way? It seems as though a change of scenery paved the way for his rebound, as Duchenne sensationalized last season. play together Mikel Granlund And Philip ForsbergHe finished second in team-scoring, and included 43 goals—the quietest 43-goal season I can remember, given that it was a one-off (and technically better on a per-game basis! ) Conor McDavid, and the landing of hunters nino niederreiter One of the best value contracts you’ll see on a contract — two years, totaling $8 million — massively solidifies their top-six.

And keep an eye out for Phil Tomasino, too. In the former first round pick a . was strong rookie season, with hunters achieving 55 percent of the expected targets with him on the ice. Nashville’s deep lineup will make them tough in the Western Conference; Probably one of the best teams behind Colorado.

Data via CapFriendly, Natural Stat Trick, NHL.com, Hockey Reference, HockeyDB

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